Motivation for the Smoothed Bootstrap

This post discusses the need for smoothed version of the statistical bootstrap. I start with a negative result of the standard bootstrap, and introduce smoothing as a practical, and necessary improvement.

Suppose you have 100 unique values and you draw a new sample of 100 observations with replacement. How many unique values would you expect to see in this new sample?
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On average, fewer than 70 of the original values would appear. Unfortunately, you are deprived of using more than 30% of your data, and that is hard to remedy.

Why does ~30% of your data end up being left out of each sample?

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Density Confidence Interval

Density estimation belongs with the literature of non-parametric statistics. Using simple bootstrapping techniques we can obtain confidence intervals (CI) for the whole density curve. Here is a quick and easy way to obtain CI’s for different risk measures (VaR, expected shortfall) and using what follows, you can answer all kind of relevant questions.

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